IN CC Stats

Carroll (FW)
Boys - Girls
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank	#6
New Haven Semi-State Rank	#1
West Noble Regional Rank	#1
Northrop Sectional Rank	#1
Most Likely Finish	6th place at State Finals

State Champion	0.1%
Top 5 at State Finals	37.4%
Top 10 at State Finals	99.0%
Advance to State Finals	100.0%
Advance to Semi-State	100.0%
Advance to Regional	100.0%

Rank	Name	Grade	Rating
42	Madison Fruchey	10	19:09
47	Stacey Metzger	11	19:12
65	Megan Doty	11	19:30
70	Kate Morris	12	19:31
78	Allison Thomas	9	19:35
107	Londyn Wise	11	19:48
128	Caitlyn Chastain	12	19:52
148	Coral Whaley	12	20:03
	Cassie Pontius	9	21:21

Date	Race	Rating
08/24	Huntington North Invitational	146
08/31	DeKalb Classic	139
09/07	Marion Invitational	208
09/07	Manchester Invitational
09/21	Flashrock Invitational	199
09/28	Culver Invitational (Elite)	203
10/05	Northeast Hoosier Conference	200
10/15	Northrop Sectional	243
10/19	West Noble Regional	231
10/26	New Haven Semi-State	192
11/02	State Finals	183

IHSAA Tournament Simulation

Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.

Team Results

	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Avg Score	Finishing Place
	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Avg Score	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
State Finals	100%	6.1	203	0.1	3.3	6.7	11.1	16.3	21.6	18.3	13.0	6.8	2.0	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
Semi-State	100%	1.3	66	67.7	31.9	0.4	0.0
Regionals	100%	1.0	32	100.0	0.0
Sectionals	100%	1.0	32	100.0	0.0

Individual Results

Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.

State Meet	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	1	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	Indv No Team	Indv
State Meet	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Finishing Place																						Indv No Team	Indv
Madison Fruchey	100%	41.3		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.8	0.8	1.0	0.9	1.2	1.3	1.4	1.8		86.5%
Stacey Metzger	100%	44.8				0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.8	0.9	1.1	0.9	1.2		82.2%
Megan Doty	100%	66.9									0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2		43.4%
Kate Morris	100%	68.4						0.0			0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1		40.3%
Allison Thomas	100%	75.0													0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		29.9%
Londyn Wise	100%	93.4																				0.0				9.9%
Caitlyn Chastain	100%	99.2																								6.2%

Semi-State	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	Indv No Team	Indv
Semi-State	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Finishing Place																									Indv No Team	Indv
Madison Fruchey	100%	11.2	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.6	2.8	3.9	5.9	6.9	8.3	8.6	8.8	8.7	8.4	7.1	5.4	4.9	3.5	3.2	2.6	2.1	1.5	1.2	0.9	0.7	0.5		100.0%
Stacey Metzger	100%	12.3	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	1.6	3.0	4.1	5.8	6.9	7.7	8.4	8.4	8.4	7.6	6.6	5.7	4.7	4.5	3.2	2.7	2.1	1.7	1.3	1.1	0.9		100.0%
Megan Doty	100%	20.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.9	1.4	2.0	2.5	3.5	4.2	5.0	5.7	5.9	6.1	5.8	5.6	5.9	5.4	4.6	4.5	4.2		99.9%
Kate Morris	100%	20.6			0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.8	1.1	1.7	2.4	3.0	3.2	4.6	5.1	5.5	6.3	6.3	5.5	5.2	5.4	5.2	4.8	4.5		99.9%
Allison Thomas	100%	23.0				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.3	1.7	2.3	3.1	3.5	4.3	4.7	5.2	5.4	5.4	5.3	5.6	4.9	4.8		99.7%
Londyn Wise	100%	30.4									0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.7	0.7	1.2	1.5	1.5	2.2	2.7	2.9	3.1	3.9	4.1		98.2%
Caitlyn Chastain	100%	33.1											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.5	0.8	1.0	1.5	1.5	2.0	2.5	2.8	3.1		96.4%

Regionals	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	Indv No Team	Indv
Regionals	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Finishing Place																									Indv No Team	Indv
Madison Fruchey	100%	4.7	2.3	9.3	13.4	14.8	14.3	13.4	11.8	8.4	5.2	3.2	1.7	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0								100.0%
Stacey Metzger	100%	5.4	1.3	6.7	10.3	13.5	13.1	14.0	12.7	10.4	7.2	4.5	2.5	1.7	0.8	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0						100.0%
Megan Doty	100%	9.9	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.8	3.1	5.5	7.0	9.5	11.1	12.2	11.3	10.0	7.3	6.0	4.4	3.3	2.3	1.5	1.1	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.1		100.0%
Kate Morris	100%	10.2	0.0	0.3	0.7	1.3	2.8	4.4	6.9	9.0	11.0	11.7	11.7	9.9	8.1	6.2	4.7	3.8	2.6	1.8	1.3	0.8	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.1		100.0%
Allison Thomas	100%	11.6	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.2	1.9	3.8	5.8	8.6	10.2	11.5	11.1	10.2	8.3	7.0	5.5	4.4	3.2	2.4	1.6	0.9	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1		100.0%
Londyn Wise	100%	15.5				0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	1.0	1.9	3.3	4.6	6.6	8.5	9.0	9.5	9.2	9.3	8.0	7.2	6.2	4.8	3.8	2.4	1.3	1.1		100.0%
Caitlyn Chastain	100%	16.8	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	1.0	1.9	2.5	4.2	6.2	7.7	8.7	9.1	9.4	8.9	8.6	8.3	6.6	5.0	3.7	2.4	1.5		100.0%

Sectionals	Avg Finish	Finishing Place
Sectionals	Avg Finish	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25
Madison Fruchey	3.2	12.3	15.9	17.5	17.6	16.0	11.1	5.0	2.6	1.1	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0		0.0
Stacey Metzger	3.8	7.7	12.5	15.4	17.6	18.3	13.9	7.5	4.0	1.9	0.8	0.3	0.3	0.1
Megan Doty	7.3	0.2	1.0	2.4	4.3	7.8	12.3	16.9	16.1	14.8	9.3	6.3	4.0	2.5	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
Kate Morris	7.5	0.3	0.9	1.6	3.9	6.5	11.7	17.0	17.4	14.5	10.1	7.0	4.2	2.4	1.4	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0		0.0	0.0			0.0
Allison Thomas	8.6	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.7	3.6	7.1	11.6	15.8	16.1	14.8	10.8	7.0	4.9	3.0	1.5	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1
Londyn Wise	11.3		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.1	2.5	4.9	8.3	13.5	15.0	14.2	13.3	10.5	7.3	4.0	2.0	1.2	0.7	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
Caitlyn Chastain	12.2			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.2	2.7	5.4	9.3	13.5	14.6	14.4	14.2	10.2	5.9	3.3	2.0	1.1	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0